01
How Bookmakers Price Player Props (and Where They Get It Wrong)
How bookmakers set odds on football player props: team goal expectations, player shares, expected minutes, margins, B2B suppliers like Kambi and line moves.
7 min read · Updated
Guides
Player prop bets, explained
Evergreen explanations of the bet types. What the rules count, how the odds and the margin are built, and how expected value tells a fair price from a bad one.
02
Player Shots Bets Explained: What Counts as a Shot and How the Lines Work
Player shots bets explained: what counts as a shot (blocked, woodwork, headers), how 1+, 2+ and 3+ lines work, shots vs shots on target, and the rules to check.
7 min read · Updated
03
Headers and Outside the Box Bets Explained: Rules, Odds and What Counts
How 'to score a header' and 'score from outside the box' bets work: what counts, where the box line sits, own goals, deflections, non-starters and pricing.
7 min read · Updated
04
Assist Bets Explained: Rules and What Counts as an Assist
Player to assist bets explained: what counts as an assist for betting, own goals, penalties, deflections, why Fantasy assists differ, and how to price assists.
7 min read · Updated
05
Goal or Assist Bets Explained: Rules, Maths and When They're Worth It
How 'to score or assist' bets work: what counts, own goals and penalties, non-starters, why the odds aren't the two chances added up, and how to spot value.
6 min read · Updated
06
Confirmed Lineups Betting: How Team News, Penalty Takers and Position Changes Move Player Props
How confirmed lineups, penalty takers, position changes, rotation and set pieces change a player's real chances before the odds catch up, with checklists.
8 min read · Updated
07
Anytime Goalscorer Bets Explained: Rules, Tips and Finding Value
Anytime goalscorer rules explained: own goals, extra time, penalties and non-starters. Plus how to price a scorer yourself and spot real value.
7 min read · Updated
08
Shots on Target Betting: Rules, Tips and How to Find Value
Shots on target betting explained: what counts as a shot on target, how 1+ and 2+ lines work, non-starter rules, and how to find value with fair odds.
7 min read · Updated
09
Bet Builder Tips: How to Use Player Props Without Overpaying
Bet builder tips that focus on the price: how margins stack up, why correlation changes the fair odd, which player legs fit together, and the rules to check.
7 min read · Updated
10
Fair Odds for Player Props: How JOPP Builds Them and How to Compare Kambi and Bet365
How fair odds for football player props are built from probability and expected minutes, and how to compare them with Kambi and Bet365 prices using EV%.
8 min read · Updated
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Fair odds for every player, next to the Kambi and Bet365 prices, refreshed every 15 minutes.